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Vikram Malhotra v Rudi Rohrmüller (Sun 12 Nov 2017)

Match won by Vikram Malhotra. Result: 11-8,11-1,11-8.

Starting level for Vikram Malhotra: 28,269, level confidence: 53%.
Starting level for Rudi Rohrmüller: 22,885, level confidence: 54%.
Vikram Malhotra to win as he is currently playing 24% better than Rudi Rohrmüller.

Vikram Malhotra won all of the games and 66% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 94% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Vikram Malhotra played 94% better than Rudi Rohrmüller in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Vikram Malhotra actually played at a level of 35,438 and Rudi Rohrmüller at a level of 18,256. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 25% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 23% and 23% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Vikram Malhotra changes to +23% and Rudi Rohrmüller changes to -22%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Vikram Malhotra becomes +4.9% and for Rudi Rohrmüller becomes -5%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Senior World Team Championship' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Vikram Malhotra: 73%, Rudi Rohrmüller: 74%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Vikram Malhotra: 58%, Rudi Rohrmüller: 59%.

A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Vikram Malhotra: 29,376, level confidence: 58%.
Final level for Rudi Rohrmüller: 22,144, level confidence: 59%.