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Cameron Pilley v Shawn Delierre (Sun 12 Nov 2017)

Match won by Cameron Pilley. Result: 11-3,11-3,11-7.

Starting level for Cameron Pilley: 42,587, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Starting level for Shawn Delierre: 25,701, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Cameron Pilley to win as he is currently playing 66% better than Shawn Delierre.

Cameron Pilley won all of the games and 72% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 154% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Cameron Pilley played 154% better than Shawn Delierre in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Cameron Pilley actually played at a level of 52,711 and Shawn Delierre at a level of 20,765. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 24% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 18% and 18% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Cameron Pilley changes to +18% and Shawn Delierre changes to -17%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Cameron Pilley becomes +3.8% and for Shawn Delierre becomes -3.9%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Senior World Team Championship' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Cameron Pilley: 85%, Shawn Delierre: 88%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Cameron Pilley: 68%, Shawn Delierre: 71%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Cameron Pilley: 43,752, level confidence: 68%.
Final level for Shawn Delierre: 24,932, level confidence: 71%.