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Liam Eason v Nicholas Johnson (Thu 30 Nov 2017)

Match won by Liam Eason. Result: 11-3,11-8,11-9.

Starting level for Liam Eason: 9,760, level confidence: 70%. Set manually.
Starting level for Nicholas Johnson: 5,361, level confidence: 55%.
Liam Eason to win as he is currently playing 82% better than Nicholas Johnson.

Liam Eason won all of the games and 62% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 65% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Liam Eason played 65% better than Nicholas Johnson in this match.

In this case, Liam Eason played at level 8,846 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Nicholas Johnson is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Liam Eason: 84%, Nicholas Johnson: 74%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Liam Eason: 80%, Nicholas Johnson: 71%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Liam Eason: 9,745, level confidence: 80%.
Final level for Nicholas Johnson: 5,353, level confidence: 71%.