SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Tesni Murphy v Katie Wells (Sat 04 Nov 2017)

Match won by Tesni Murphy. Result: 11-4,11-3,11-4.

Starting level for Tesni Murphy: 8,020, level confidence: 84%. Set manually.
Starting level for Katie Wells: 2,495, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Tesni Murphy to win as she is currently playing 221% better than Katie Wells.

Tesni Murphy won all of the games and 75% of the points.
This games result would be expected if she was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if she was better by around 200% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Tesni Murphy played 200% better than Katie Wells in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Tesni Murphy was taking it easy by anything up to 27%. This gives her an allowed level range for this match between 4,306 and 8,020 without affecting her level.

In this case, Tesni Murphy played at level 7,485 and remained within her allowed range so her level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Katie Wells is considered to have not played better than expected and her level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Tesni Murphy: 92%, Katie Wells: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Tesni Murphy: 89%, Katie Wells: 84%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Tesni Murphy: 8,008, level confidence: 89%.
Final level for Katie Wells: 2,491, level confidence: 84%.