SquashLevels calculations
Oliver Pett v Carlos Cornes (Wed 22 Nov 2017)
Match won by Oliver Pett. Result: 11-5,8-11,11-3,8-11,11-7.
Starting level for
Oliver Pett:
25,479, level confidence: 66%.
Starting level for
Carlos Cornes:
21,954, level confidence: 83%. Set manually.
Oliver Pett to win as he is currently playing
16% better than Carlos Cornes.
Oliver Pett won 60% of the games and 57% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 32% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Oliver Pett played
16% better than Carlos Cornes in this match.
In this case, Oliver Pett played at level 25,381 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Carlos Cornes is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Oliver Pett: 81%, Carlos Cornes: 91%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Oliver Pett: 81%, Carlos Cornes: 91%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Oliver Pett:
25,441, level confidence: 81%.
Final level for Carlos Cornes:
21,921, level confidence: 91%.