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Srikar Mummidi v Isaac Milford (Sun 19 Nov 2017)

Match won by Srikar Mummidi. Result: 11-2,11-9,11-4.

Starting level for Srikar Mummidi: 6,805, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Starting level for Isaac Milford: 2,493, level confidence: 67%.
Srikar Mummidi to win as he is currently playing 173% better than Isaac Milford.

Srikar Mummidi won all of the games and 69% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 120% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Srikar Mummidi played 120% better than Isaac Milford in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Srikar Mummidi was taking it easy by anything up to 21%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 4,209 and 6,805 without affecting his level.

In this case, Srikar Mummidi played at level 5,485 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Isaac Milford is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Srikar Mummidi: 87%, Isaac Milford: 82%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Srikar Mummidi: 79%, Isaac Milford: 74%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Srikar Mummidi: 6,822, level confidence: 79%.
Final level for Isaac Milford: 2,499, level confidence: 74%.