SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Tesni Murphy v Joanne Hilton (Sat 04 Nov 2017)

Match won by Tesni Murphy. Result: 11-1,11-2,11-3.

Starting level for Tesni Murphy: 7,922, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Starting level for Joanne Hilton: 1,551, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Tesni Murphy to win as she is currently playing 411% better than Joanne Hilton.

Tesni Murphy won all of the games and 85% of the points.
This games result would be expected if she was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if she was better by around 450% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Tesni Murphy played 450% better than Joanne Hilton in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Tesni Murphy actually played at a level of 8,221 and Joanne Hilton at a level of 1,495. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 3.8% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 1.7% and 1.7% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Tesni Murphy changes to +1.7% and Joanne Hilton changes to -1.6%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Tesni Murphy becomes +0.9% and for Joanne Hilton becomes -1.4%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Senior Intercounty 2017/18' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Tesni Murphy: 84%, Joanne Hilton: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Tesni Murphy: 81%, Joanne Hilton: 82%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Tesni Murphy: 7,981, level confidence: 81%.
Final level for Joanne Hilton: 1,528, level confidence: 82%.