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Liam Eason v Srikar Mummidi (Thu 02 Nov 2017)

Match won by Liam Eason. Result: 11-7,11-9,11-8.

Starting level for Liam Eason: 10,437, level confidence: 81%. Set manually.
Starting level for Srikar Mummidi: 6,844, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Liam Eason to win as he is currently playing 52% better than Srikar Mummidi.

Liam Eason won all of the games and 58% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 38% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Liam Eason played 43% better than Srikar Mummidi in this match.

In this case, Liam Eason played at level 9,852 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Liam Eason would normally have been playing at level 9,898 (based on typical behaviour), Srikar Mummidi played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 0.5%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0%.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Liam Eason changes to 0% and Srikar Mummidi changes to +0.4%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Liam Eason becomes 0% and for Srikar Mummidi becomes 0%.

Given Srikar Mummidi's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 7.3% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'South Wales Winter 2017' so the adjustment for Liam Eason is 0% and for Srikar Mummidi is 0%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Liam Eason: 90%, Srikar Mummidi: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Liam Eason: 87%, Srikar Mummidi: 81%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Liam Eason: 10,421, level confidence: 87%.
Final level for Srikar Mummidi: 6,844, level confidence: 81%.