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Raphael Kandra v Valentin Rapp (Thu 12 Oct 2017)

Match won by Raphael Kandra. Result: 3-11,11-6,11-4,11-2.

Starting level for Raphael Kandra: 33,930, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Starting level for Valentin Rapp: 19,011, level confidence: 60%.
Raphael Kandra to win as he is currently playing 78% better than Valentin Rapp.

Raphael Kandra won 75% of the games and 61% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 57% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Raphael Kandra played 35% better than Valentin Rapp in this match.

As Raphael Kandra has played below his allowed range at 26,604, his level reduction is 3.4% before damping. On the assumption that Raphael Kandra would normally have been playing at level 30,903 (based on typical behaviour), Valentin Rapp played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 9.6%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 2.5% and 7.1% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Raphael Kandra changes to -2% and Valentin Rapp changes to +7.1%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Raphael Kandra becomes -0.8% and for Valentin Rapp becomes +2.2%.

Given Raphael Kandra's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 60% has been applied to his level change.

Given Valentin Rapp's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 37% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Swiss Interclub 17/18' so the adjustment for Raphael Kandra is -0.4% and for Valentin Rapp is +1.2%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Raphael Kandra: 87%, Valentin Rapp: 78%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Raphael Kandra: 76%, Valentin Rapp: 68%.

A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Raphael Kandra: 33,893, level confidence: 76%.
Final level for Valentin Rapp: 19,284, level confidence: 68%.