SquashLevels calculations
Tarek Momen v Cameron Pilley (Thu 19 Oct 2017)
Match won by Tarek Momen. Result: 9-11,11-7,11-6,11-8.
Starting level for
Tarek Momen:
52,125, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Cameron Pilley:
40,453, level confidence: 83%. Set manually.
Tarek Momen to win as he is currently playing
29% better than Cameron Pilley.
Tarek Momen won 75% of the games and 57% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 31% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Tarek Momen played
27% better than Cameron Pilley in this match.
In this case, Tarek Momen played at level 51,401 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Cameron Pilley is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Tarek Momen: 85%, Cameron Pilley: 91%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Tarek Momen: 84%, Cameron Pilley: 90%.
A final adjustment of +0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Tarek Momen:
52,039, level confidence: 84%.
Final level for Cameron Pilley:
40,547, level confidence: 90%.