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Chris Greenaway v Srikar Mummidi (Thu 12 Oct 2017)

Match won by Srikar Mummidi. Result: 4-11,5-11,5-11.

Starting level for Chris Greenaway: 2,080, level confidence: 64%.
Starting level for Srikar Mummidi: 5,922, level confidence: 83%. Set manually.
Srikar Mummidi to win as he is currently playing 185% better than Chris Greenaway.

Srikar Mummidi won all of the games and 70% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 136% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Srikar Mummidi played 136% better than Chris Greenaway in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Srikar Mummidi was taking it easy by anything up to 23%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 3,318 and 5,922 without affecting his level.

In this case, Srikar Mummidi played at level 4,903 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Chris Greenaway is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Srikar Mummidi: 91%, Chris Greenaway: 80%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Srikar Mummidi: 83%, Chris Greenaway: 73%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Chris Greenaway: 2,077, level confidence: 73%.
Final level for Srikar Mummidi: 5,913, level confidence: 83%.