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Srikar Mummidi v Campbell Wells (Sun 08 Oct 2017)

Match won by Srikar Mummidi. Result: 19-21,11-6,11-4,11-6.

Starting level for Srikar Mummidi: 5,777, level confidence: 83%. Set manually.
Starting level for Campbell Wells: 5,814, level confidence: 87%. Set manually.
Campbell Wells to win as he is currently playing 1% better than Srikar Mummidi.

Srikar Mummidi won 75% of the games and 58% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 41% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Srikar Mummidi played 30% better than Campbell Wells in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Srikar Mummidi actually played at a level of 6,611 and Campbell Wells at a level of 5,080. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 14% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Srikar Mummidi changes to +14% and Campbell Wells changes to -14%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Srikar Mummidi becomes +4.8% and for Campbell Wells becomes -4.6%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Edgbaston Jo Silver 2017' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Srikar Mummidi: 91%, Campbell Wells: 93%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Srikar Mummidi: 79%, Campbell Wells: 82%.

A final adjustment of +1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Srikar Mummidi: 6,043, level confidence: 79%.
Final level for Campbell Wells: 5,678, level confidence: 82%.