SquashLevels calculations
Srikar Mummidi v David Haley (Thu 05 Oct 2017)
Match won by David Haley. Result: 2-11,6-11,8-11.
Starting level for
Srikar Mummidi:
5,602, level confidence: 66%.
Starting level for
David Haley:
11,895, level confidence: 68%.
David Haley to win as he is currently playing
112% better than Srikar Mummidi.
David Haley won all of the games and 67% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 106% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that David Haley played
106% better than Srikar Mummidi in this match.
Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that David Haley was taking it easy by anything up to 14%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 8,476 and 11,895 without affecting his level.
In this case, David Haley played at level 11,554 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Srikar Mummidi is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. David Haley: 82%, Srikar Mummidi: 81%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. David Haley: 81%, Srikar Mummidi: 80%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Srikar Mummidi:
5,594, level confidence: 80%.
Final level for David Haley:
11,877, level confidence: 81%.