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Tesni Murphy v Joey Chan (Wed 30 Aug 2017)

Match won by Tesni Murphy. Result: 4-11,11-8,11-6,11-6.

Starting level for Tesni Murphy: 9,308, level confidence: 49%.
Starting level for Joey Chan: 7,394, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Tesni Murphy to win as she is currently playing 26% better than Joey Chan.

Tesni Murphy won 75% of the games and 54% of the points.
This games result would be expected if she was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if she was better by around 19% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Tesni Murphy played 23% better than Joey Chan in this match.

In this case, Tesni Murphy played at level 9,126 and remained within her allowed range so her level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Joey Chan is considered to have not played better than expected and her level will also not be adjusted.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0%.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Tesni Murphy changes to 0% and Joey Chan changes to 0%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Tesni Murphy becomes 0% and for Joey Chan becomes 0%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA China Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Tesni Murphy: 70%, Joey Chan: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Tesni Murphy: 69%, Joey Chan: 83%.

A final adjustment of -0.4% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Tesni Murphy: 9,194, level confidence: 69%.
Final level for Joey Chan: 7,438, level confidence: 83%.